Who would win the NRL premiership if it was based on property price growth?

Brendan Crabb, Illawarra Mercury Property Reporter
view.com.au
Penrith halfback Nathan Cleary celebrates another premiership win. Getty
Penrith halfback Nathan Cleary celebrates another premiership win. Getty Credit: View

It's the business end of the National Rugby League season, with six teams remaining in the hunt for the 2025 premiership.

Melbourne, Brisbane, Canberra, Penrith, Cronulla-Sutherland and Canterbury-Bankstown are the clubs still in with a chance at premiership glory.

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Fans of the teams still in the race are hoping and preparing to buy grand final tickets, but should they be looking to purchase property within their club's heartland instead?

And how would the respective teams' chances of winning the title look if they were ranked for property price growth rather than on-field performance?

Exclusive Cotality data shows how each team would be currently placed, based on how rapidly home prices have grown in the past 12 months.

Some of the remaining teams enjoy the benefit of being the only NRL franchise in their city, while others share space within the crowded Sydney market.

Data courtesy of Cotality. Median values refers to the middle of the valuations observed in the region. Data is at August 2025.
Data courtesy of Cotality. Median values refers to the middle of the valuations observed in the region. Data is at August 2025. Credit: View

Brisbane, who scored a thrilling win in an all-time classic against minor premiers Canberra on Sunday to progress to week three of the finals, topped the table as far as price growth is concerned with 7.1 per cent during the past 12 months.

Four-time defending premiers Penrith were in second place in this category with 5.8 per cent. Perhaps another grand final awaits then?

The Canterbury, Cronulla and Canberra LGAs/regions have all experienced growth during the past year.

Meanwhile, perennial premiership contenders Melbourne, who have already secured a preliminary final berth, were ranked last in this category, with values dropping by three per cent during this period.

Broncos fullback Reece Walsh. Picture: Getty
Broncos fullback Reece Walsh. Getty Credit: View

So should Brisbane Broncos fans be getting even more excited about their team's chances this season? Perhaps not.

"Brisbanites might be disappointed to know that there is no correlation between the performance of the housing markets and sporting outcomes," Cotality research director Tim Lawless said.

"[If you're] looking for some remote relationship between NRL and housing markets, higher home values have historically been accompanied by a lift in household sentiment, so we might see the stronger housing performance reflected in player confidence.

"But this is a very long bow to stretch."

The Canberra Raiders celebrate. Picture: Getty
The Canberra Raiders celebrate. Getty Credit: View

As for whether fans and home owners can expect any impact on property values in the LGA/region of the team that wins the premiership, well, Mr Lawless would suggest not getting too excited there either.

"Certainly not," Mr Lawless said.

"Unless a premiership win magically brings down interest rates or supports higher housing demand, which seems highly unlikely, I think we can safely expect outcomes in the NRL to stay on the footy field."

Not Supplied
Not Supplied Credit: View

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