Federal election 2025: What happens if Peter Dutton loses the seat of Dickson to Labor’s Ali France
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said on Tuesday that Labor could “certainly win” the seat of Dickson – currently held by one Peter Dutton.
The Opposition Leader’s seat is the most marginal in Queensland, held by a slim 1.7 per cent or 3363 votes at the last election.
It’s the tightest margin for any Opposition Leader’s seat since John Curtin heading into the 1937 election (Mr Curtin increased his margin but Labor lost the election).
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By continuing you agree to our Terms and Privacy Policy.Labor candidate Ali France is having her third crack at the seat.
This time, there is also a Climate200-backed independent in the mix, Ellie Smith.
Throughout the campaign, Labor has sent its supporters multiple messages using the tight contest in Dickson to generate donations.
Ahead of the campaign proper, though, party insiders said they thought Mr Dutton would hold on, especially since he has had a higher profile over the past term as the Liberal leader.
If Mr Dutton were to lose, it would throw the Coalition into turmoil since the Liberals would have to find a new leader.
That would be even more so should the Coalition form a majority government, meaning the country would have a party with no leader in power.
However, this is an unlikely scenario since the swing towards the Coalition needed for such a victory mean Mr Dutton should keep his seat.
Sportsbet currently has Mr Dutton as favourite to retain the seat, paying $1.52 to $2.80 for Labor and $9.50 for Ms Smith.
