Australian Federal election: Anthony Albanese or Peter Dutton, who is going to win and by how much?
Need a bit of a refresh on how Federal election day works? Well, here is what you need to know.
How do you win?
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By continuing you agree to our Terms and Privacy Policy.- A political party needs 76 seats in the House of Representatives to form a majority government
- A net loss of just three seats will leave Labor needing to negotiate with the crossbench to form a minority government
- The coalition requires a net gain of 19 seats to govern in its own right, or a uniform swing of about 5.3 per cent
- If neither party makes it to the requisite 76 seats, whichever has the most would enter into negotiations with the crossbench first
- Published polls suggest Labor is most likely to win government but could fall short of a majority, while the coalition claims its internal data paints a vastly different picture
- A minority parliament would be the first since 2010 and only the third since 1943
Where do things stand?
- Labor - 78 seats (including seat redistributions)
- Coalition - 57 seats (including vacant seats after retirement, former MPs who defected to the crossbench and seat redistributions)
- Independents - nine seats
- Greens - four seats
- Katter’s Australian Party - one seat
- Centre Alliance - one seat
What’s changed since the last election?
- The Victorian seat of Higgins and the NSW seat of North Sydney have been abolished after a redistribution
- Western Australia has gained an electorate with the seat of Bullwinkel in Perth’s outskirts
- Nationals MP Andrew Gee left the party to become an independent, while coalition MPs Russell Broadbent and Ian Goodenough also defected to the crossbench
- The former Liberal safe seat of Aston fell to Labor at a 2023 by-election
