Australian long-term weather forecast: Aussies warned to expect hotter and wetter summer than usual

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David Johns
The Nightly
Bondi Beach is set to get even more packed this summer with a hotter than average season forecast.
Bondi Beach is set to get even more packed this summer with a hotter than average season forecast. Credit: Brook Mitchell/Getty Images

Australia can expect a hotter and wetter summer than usual, according to the Bureau of Meteorology.

The news comes off the back of the Bureau’s long-term forecast, released on Thursday.

A spokesperson said the summer was likely to be hotter than average “across most of the country”.

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“Also, more than usual summer rainfall is likely for many parts of the country, particularly in December,” they said.

“Most of the country is more likely to have a typical range of January rainfall, although parts of eastern New South Wales and south-east Queensland may see above average rainfall.”

Here’s how each State is shaping up over the next few months, according to the Bureau:

New South Wales and the ACT

“Large parts of New South Wales are likely to have warmer than usual temperatures this summer.

“However, some parts around the Central, Southern and Northern Tablelands could have more milder temperatures.

“The ACT is expected to see temperatures typical of summer.

“However, warmer night-time temperatures are very likely across both New South Wales and the ACT.

“Most of New South Wales and the ACT is expected to be wetter than usual, especially in December.

“In January the forecast currently signals the chance for above average rainfall in eastern parts of the State.

“Average summer rainfall in recent decades has been between 200 and 600mm along most of eastern NSW, while western and central NSW have between 50 and 200mm.”

Victoria

“Victoria is likely to have warmer than usual summer temperatures, both during the day and overnight.

“Above average summer rainfall is likely for most of the State.

“The highest chance of above average rainfall is currently during December, where wetter conditions are likely across most of Victoria, except some western parts of the State.

“Most of the State is forecast to have rainfall in the typical range for January.

“Average summer rainfall in recent decades ranges between 50 mm in the west, up to 300 mm in eastern and alpine areas.”

Queensland

“Most of Queensland is likely to have warmer than usual summer temperatures with an increased chance of unusually warm night-time temperatures.

“Above average summer rainfall is likely for most of Queensland.

“The highest chance for above average rainfall is currently in December, where wetter conditions are likely across the State, particularly in the north-east.

“In January, the forecast currently signals the chance for above average rainfall in parts of the State’s south-east.

“However, most of the State is forecast to have rainfall in the typical range for January.

“Average summer rainfall in recent decades has been between 300 and 1200mm along most of the State’s east into the north, while western and central Qld have between 50 and 300mm.”

Western Australia

“Most of coastal Western Australia is likely to have warmer than usual summer temperatures.

“Northern and western areas are also very likely to have unusually warm overnight temperatures.

“And warmer night-time temperatures are very likely this summer across the State.

“Above average summer rainfall is likely for most of the Western Australia.

“The highest chance of above average rainfall is during December, where wetter conditions are likely across most of the State, particularly in northern coastal regions.

“Although the south-west is likely to see rainfall more typical of summer.

“Average summer rainfall in recent decades has been between 25 and 100mm for most of the South West Land Division.”

South Australia

“Most of South Australia is likely to have warmer than usual summer temperatures with an increased chance of warm night-time temperatures.

“Above average summer rainfall is likely for most of South Australia.

“Wetter conditions are more likely in December except some areas in the far south-east and parts of the north.

“Most of the State is forecast to have rainfall in the typical range for January.

“Average summer rainfall in recent decades has been between 50 and 100mm for most of the State, and 25 to 50mm for parts of the Eyre Peninsula.”

Tasmania

“Tasmania is very likely to have warmer than usual summer temperatures with a high chance of unusually warm days and nights.

“Above average summer rainfall is likely for eastern Tasmania, where the highest chance of above average rainfall is currently during December.

“Western Tasmania is likely to have rainfall within the typical range for summer.

“Average summer rainfall in recent decades has been between 200mm and 600mm for western Tasmania, while eastern areas typically have between 100mm and 300mm.”

Northern Territory

“Large parts of the Northern Territory are likely to have warmer than usual December to February temperatures. And warmer night-time temperatures are very likely everywhere.

“Above average December to February rainfall is likely for parts of the NT.

“The highest chance for above average rainfall is currently in December, where wetter conditions are likely in the north.

“Most of the Territory is forecast to have rainfall in the typical range for January.

“Average December to February rainfall in recent decades has been between 400 and 1200mm along most of the north, inland areas have between 50 and 400mm.”

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