Largest election turnout in history leaves Israeli politics in limbo

As counting begins, it appears impossible for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to secure a majority. Here’s what could happen next.

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Aaron Patrick
The Nightly
Polls have opened in Israel's election, marking what could be one of the biggest political shake-ups in the nation's history.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu — one of Middle Eastern politics’ master players — will have to use his formidable negotiation skills to retain power after support for opposition parties surged in a national election.

As counting began across Israel, private polls of voters indicated it would be impossible for Mr Netanyahu’s Likud-led right-wing bloc to secure a majority.

But despite the largest voter turn out in Israeli history, an opposition led by former Defence Force chief Gadi Eisenkot failed to capitalise on widespread anger over the 2023 attacks by Hamas.

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Six exit polls were split between predicting the government and opposition would win the most seats, leaving parties representing Israel’s Arab minority holding the balance of power.

But both sides said during the campaign they would not seek Arab support to form government. Concerns about crime in their own communities and wars in Gaza and southern Lebanon are likely to give Arab parties their largest representation ever.

TEL AVIV, ISRAEL - OCTOBER 25: Former Israeli army chief of staff and Yashar Party leader, Gadi Eisenkot, greets supporters during a campaign rally on October 25, 2026 in Tel Aviv, Israel. Eisenkot, a retired chief of the Israel Defense Forces, has emerged as a leading challenger to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the legislative elections on October 27. (Photo by Amir Levy/Getty Images)
TEL AVIV, ISRAEL - OCTOBER 25: Former Israeli army chief of staff and Yashar Party leader, Gadi Eisenkot, greets supporters during a campaign rally on October 25, 2026 in Tel Aviv, Israel. Eisenkot, a retired chief of the Israel Defense Forces, has emerged as a leading challenger to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the legislative elections on October 27. (Photo by Amir Levy/Getty Images) Credit: Amir Levy/Getty Images

Once the official count becomes clear, negotiations will begin among nine Jewish parties to form government, giving Mr Netanyahu a shot at his seventh election victory.

”Israel had the highest turnout in its history today, and the country is still split down the middle,” wrote analyst Hen Mazzig.

One option would be for the government and opposition to form a “national unity” government.

Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel's prime minister, faces a battle to retain power.
Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel's prime minister, faces a battle to retain power. Credit: Angelina Katsanis/Bloomberg

If neither side can assemble a majority, or stable minority, another election needs to be held within 90 days. Mr Netanyahu would remain caretaker prime minister.

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