Gold, silver and platinum’s red-hot rally still has further to go, strategists say

Gold, silver and platinum prices have been on a tear so far this year, and strategists say the precious metals could continue to hit fresh record highs over the coming months.

Precious metal prices got a major boost Wednesday after softer-than-expected US inflation data heightened the near-term prospect of rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.

Gold prices on Wednesday settled at their highest level in over three weeks on the news, while silver notched its highest level in more than three years and platinum climbed to a near one-year peak.

Spot gold prices moderated slightly on Thursday to trade around $US2382 an ounce after settling at its highest level since April 19 in the previous session. The yellow metal has repeatedly logged all-time highs in recent weeks.

Spot silver prices, meanwhile, traded 0.5 per cent lower at around $US29.54/oz. The precious metal, sometimes described as the “poorer cousin” of gold, briefly touched $US29.73/oz on Wednesday to register its highest intraday level since February 2021.

Platinum prices for July delivery traded 0.7 per cent higher on Thursday at $US1077/oz, extending gains after closing Wednesday’s session more than 2.4 per cent higher.

Strategists at Saxo Bank said in a recent research note that gold prices could soon test the $US2400 level, silver may climb as high as $US30, while platinum has upside potential to reach $US1130.

The Danish bank said Wednesday that its “year of the metals” theme had continued to gather momentum in recent weeks, citing its preference for gold, silver and copper.

Separately, analysts at ROTH Capital Partners have tipped gold and silver prices to push even higher over the coming months.

The price of gold “now appears poised to move higher and break out of the recent highs made in April. We can set a technical upside price target to $US2600”, JC O’Hara, chief technical strategist at ROTH Capital Partners, said in a research note published Sunday.

For silver, O’Hara said if prices can break above $US30, “it will have little resistance until the $US35/$US37 area.”

‘Cautious approach’

Gold, which is typically considered a safe haven asset in times of financial uncertainty, has been on an upward trend since late 2022 despite high interest rates and a relatively strong US dollar.

Gold prices, like silver, tend to have an inverse relationship with interest rates. A higher interest rate environment usually hurts demand for gold and silver as the precious metals do not pay interest, making them less appealing compared to investments that do, like bonds.

Not everyone expects precious metals prices to go from strength to strength over the coming months, however.

Ewa Manthey, commodities strategist at Dutch bank ING, said in research note published earlier this month that gold prices were likely to ease this quarter “as the Fed continues its cautious approach and with geopolitics already being factored into the current price”.

Manthey said that ING expects gold prices to average around $US2250/oz in the second quarter, with a 2024 average of $US2218/oz. The bank had previously said gold prices were likely to peak at an average of $US2300/oz in the final three months of the year.

CNBC