The Economist

Donald Trump, Kevin Warsh and Jerome Powell.

America’s next Fed chair is caught in a vice

War, oil shocks and stubborn inflation collide to derail hopes of rate cuts and test the Fed’s independence.

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Even with the Strait open, a ceasefire will not bring peace to world energy markets.

Ceasefire will not bring peace to world energy markets

Opening the Strait of Hormuz will not stop the economic fallout but there is a silver lining to the turmoil.

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The Iranian flag flies at the Persian Gulf Star gas refinery in Bandar Abbas.

The third Gulf war will scar energy markets for a long time

A tentative ceasefire may be in place between the United States and Iran but residual risks and ruined infrastructure will keep energy prices high.

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Yemeni soldiers keep vigil, as supporters of the Iran-backed Houthi movement, in solidarity with Iran and Lebanon on April 8.

Ceasefire cold comfort for Gulf states on the edge

The United States and Iran may have hit pause but the war has left the Gulf states exposed and searching for reliable allies.

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The present-day crew aboard Artemis II.

Astronauts returning to a planet they have cheered up

The moon mission has recaptured some of the enthusiasm of early lunar flights.

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Some farmers are switching to crops that do not need as many nutrients, such as soyabeans.

The war in the Gulf could cause a global food shock

Since the US and Israel first attacked Iran, a third of fertiliser exports have been blocked from passing the Strait of Hormuz. Soaring prices are now sowing panic among the world’s farmers.

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Government borrowing costs around the globe are being pulled in opposite directions.

The inflation v recession tug of war

Government borrowing costs around the globe are being pulled in opposite directions.

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Kharg Island is an export terminal for 90 per cent of Iran’s oil.

THE ECONOMIST: How would American ground forces take Kharg?

Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan both considered invading it. Saddam Hussein bombed it. In 1988 Donald Trump said that were he president, he would ‘do a number’ on the island. 

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Donald Trump has sent thousands of troops to the Middle East.

The perils of a ground war in Iran

Donald Trump is deploying troops. Is he repeating the mistake of Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan?

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Since Iran blocked the Strait of Hormuz and sent the global economy into conniptions, Donald Trump has shown several signs of desperation to make a deal. 

Donald Trump and the art of bad diplomacy

THE ECONOMIST: One of the advisers the president ignores is his younger self.

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Video
A building hit by a US-Israeli strike on a commercial district in Tehran.

All sides in the Gulf war risk of overplaying their hands

The costs of dragging out the conflict could be very high indeed.

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Video
Iran, US, Strait of Hormuz The Nightly

Advantage Iran: A month of bombing has achieved nothing

Talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and steering Iran away from its nuclear program will be bitterly difficult. 

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Members of Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps.

The Revolutionary Guards are taking over Iran

The Revolutionary Guards appear to have taken control of both the state and the war — so who can strike a deal with the President

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Share markets are unsure how to react to President Donald Trump’s war claims.

Tragedy or comedy: Traders gripped by cognitive dissonance

Markets excellent at pricing known risks are finding themselves ill-equipped to account for the uncertainty that comes from a war.

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With luck, the Iran war won’t cause a recession. But the surge in energy prices will push up the cost of living.

How high could global inflation go?

With luck, the Iran war won’t cause a recession. But the surge in energy prices will push up the cost of living.

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